A CHALLENGE OF TRUST: CAN DISTRUST KILL THE EURO?

##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.main##

##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.sidebar##

Published: Feb 1, 2016

  Nataliia Kostiuchenko

Abstract

The purpose of the paper is to determine the dynamics of trust in the ECB in the most recent period, to compare the findings with a previous study of Farvaque et al. (2010) and to explore the question of importance of citizen’s trust in public institution for the economic performance of the country. This paper is dedicated to the study of the determinants of trust in the European Central Bank. The study attempts to give an answer to a question posed in introduction: can distrust kill the euro? After the world economic crisis the trust in the ECB began to deteriorate. Citizen’s trust in public institutions plays an important role for the economic performance of the country. Methology. We rely on the micro data from the European Commission’s Eurobarometer survey. This paper contributes empirically to the existing literature dedicated to the issue of trust in public institutions. The responses in 15 EU-member countries were taken into account. The present work uses the model of Farvaque et al. (2010) extending the time frame considered previously, giving a broader picture on this issue using the most recent data. Results. In accordance with our findings, the population that support the ECB is approximately equal to the population that does not trust in the community bank, with a mean value of 0,51. Even if there are still more supporters of the ECB, this data should provide an alarm for the European institutional framework, in consideration that in 1999 (in accordance with Farvaque et al. (2010)) the mean value was 0,67. Practical implications. According to our findings, still people with higher level of education, people with a higher social status, people with center or right-wing political orientation, people with optimistic expectations on the economic situation have more trust in the ECB. However, we have found that women have become more supportive about the ECB than men in contrast with the findings of Farvaque et al. (2010). Value/originality. A matter of trust in public institutions represents a great interest for economic research. In the background of the global financial crisis, the trust in central banks has become extremely popular nowadays. Particularly, trust in the European Central Bank in the aftermath of the world economic crisis, concentrating on the period of 2012-2014, is examined.

How to Cite

Kostiuchenko, N. (2016). A CHALLENGE OF TRUST: CAN DISTRUST KILL THE EURO?. Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, 1(1), 113-121. https://doi.org/10.30525/2256-0742/2015-1-1-113-121
Article views: 339 | PDF Downloads: 164

##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.details##

Keywords

Trust, Eurobarometer survey, European Central Bank, public opinion.

References

Banducci, S.A., Karp, J.A., Loedel, P.H. (2009). Economic interests and public support for the euro. Journal of European Public Policy, Vol. 16, issue 4, p. 564-581.

Dalton, R.J. (1999). Political Support in Advanced Industrial – Oxford University Press, p. 57-77.

De Grauwe, P. (2010). Crisis in the eurozone and how to deal with it – CEPS Policy Brief, 204 p.

Dedman, M.J. (1996). The Origins and the Development of the European Union: 1945-95 – Routledge, p. 70.

Ehrmann, M., & Fratzscher, M. (2007). Communication by central bank committee members: Different strategies, same effectiveness? – Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol.39, issue 2-3, p. 509-541.

Fligstein, N., Mara-Drita, I. (1996). How to Make a Market: Reflections on the Attempt to Create a Single Market in the European Union – American Journal of Sociology, Vol. 102, issue 1, p. 1-33.

Gabel, M. (1998). Public support for European integration: An empirical test of five theories – The Journal of Politics, Vol. 60, issue 02, p. 333-354.

Gerlach, S., & Lewis, J. (2014). Zero lower bound, ECB interest rate policy and the financial crisis – Empirical Economics, Vol. 46, issue 3, p. 865-886.

Gros, D., & Roth, F. (2010). The financial crisis and citizen trust in the European Central Bank – CEPs working document, 334 p.

Nelsen, B.F., & Guth, J.L. (2000). Exploring the gender gap women, men and public attitudes toward European Integration – European Union Politics, Vol.1, issue 3, pp. 267-291.

Hainmueller, J., & Hiscox, M.J. (2006). Learning to love globalization: Education and individual attitudes toward international trade – International Organization, Vol. 60, issue 02, p. 469-498.

Hall, P.A. (2012). The mythology of European monetary union – Swiss Political Science Review, Vol. 18, issue 4, p. 508-513.

Hayat, M.A., & Farvaque, E. (2012). Public attitudes towards central bank independence: Lessons from the foundation of the ECB – European Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 28, issue 4, p. 513.

Hayo, B. (1998). Inflation culture, central bank independence and price stability – European Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 14, issue 2, p. 241-263.

Hayo, B. (1999). Estimating a European demand for money – Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 46, issue 3, p. 221-244.

Houthakker, H.S. (1961). The present state of consumption theory – Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, p. 704-740.

Inglehart, R., & Norris, P. (2000). The developmental theory of the gender gap: Women’s and men’s voting behavior in global perspective – International Political Science Review, Vol. 21, issue 4, p. 441-463.

James H., (2012). Making the European Monetary Union – Harvard University Press, p. 324-325.

Kaltenthaler, K.C., & Anderson, C.J. (2001). Europeans and their money: Explaining public support for the common European currency – European Journal of Political Research, Vol. 40, issue 2, p. 139-170.

Kaltenthaler, K., Anderson, C.J., & Miller, W.J. (2010). Accountability and independent central banks: Europeans and distrust of the European Central Bank – JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies, Vol. 48, issue 5, p.1261-1281.

Morselli et al. (2012). Human values and trust in institutions across countries: A multilevel test of Schwartz’s hypothesis of structural equivalence – In Survey Research Methods, Vol. 6, issue 1, p. 49-60.

Maier, P., & Bezoen, S. (2004). Bashing and supporting central banks: the Bundesbank and the European Central Bank – European Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 20, issue 4, p. 923-939.

Rigobon, R., & Rodrik, D. (2005). Rule of law, democracy, openness, and income – Economics of transition, Vol. 13, issue 3, p. 533-564.

Miller, H.P. (1960). Annual and lifetime income in relation to education: 1939-1959 – The American Economic Review, p. 962-986.

Minkkinen, P., & Patomäki, H. (Eds.) (1997). The politics of economic and monetary union – Kluwer Academic, p. 7-9.

Mishler, W., & Rose, R. (1997). Trust, distrust and skepticism: Popular evaluations of civil and political institutions in post-communist societies – The journal of politics, Vol. 59, issue 2, p. 418-451.

Morgan, J., & David, M. (1963). Education and income – The Quarterly Journal of Economics, p. 423-437.

Musiaᴌkovska, I. (2014). Enlargements of the European Union – Poznan University of Economics, p. 142-146.

Newton, K. (1997). Social capital and democracy – American behavioral scientist, Vol. 40, issue 5, p. 575-586.

Newton, K., & Norris, P. (1999). Confidence in Public Institutions: Faith, Culture or Performance – Atlanta, Paper at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, p. 2-5.

Nye, J.S., Zelikow, P., & King, D.C. (1997). Why people don’t trust government – Harvard University Press, p. 263-264.

OECD, (1999), EMU. Facts, Challenges and Policies. Padoa-Schioppa, T. (2004). The Euro and its Central Bank – MIT Press, p. 14.

Frankel, J.A., & Rose, A.K. (1998). The endogenity of the optimum currency area criteria – The Economic Journal, Vol. 108, issue 449, p. 1009-1025.

Sinn, H.W., (2014). The Euro Trap. On Bursting Bubbles, Budgets, And Beliefs – Oxford University Press, p. 26.

Trichet, J.C. (2010). State of the Union: The Financial Crisis and the ECB’s Response between 2007 and 2009 – JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies, Vol. 48, issue 1, p. 7-19.

Walstad, W.B., & Rebeck, K. (2002). Assessing the economic knowledge and economic opinions of adults – The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Vol. 42, issue 5, p. 921-935.

Zettelmeyer, J., Trebesch, C., & Gulati, M. (2013). The Greek debt restructuring: an autopsy – Economic Policy, Vol. 28, issue 75, p. 513-563.