EVALUATION OF MIGRATION ATTITUDES AND EXPECTATIONS OF THE POPULATION IN THE CONTEXT OF MILITARY CONFLICT

##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.main##

##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.sidebar##

Published: Aug 25, 2023

  Krystyna Kudak

  Kateryna Mashiko

  Mykhaylo Pityulych

Abstract

The article analyses the main trends related to migration issues in Ukraine and the EU caused by the military conflict. An analysis of the theoretical basis of the research was carried out in order to determine the main aspects related to the migratory behaviour of the population in the conditions of military conflicts and crisis situations. Based on the results of a sociological study, an assessment was made of the migration attitudes and expectations of internally displaced persons (IDPs) temporarily residing in the border region of the country under martial law. An attempt was made to assess the impact of migration potential on the development of border regions under the conditions of a military crisis (using the Zakarpattia Oblast as an example). The purpose of this article is to assess the attitudes and expectations of migrants in relation to the military conflict in their country of origin. The study focuses on internally displaced persons (IDPs) living temporarily in the country's border regions, particularly in Zakarpattia Oblast. Methodology. The study is based on a sociological survey of Ukrainian migrants, such as IDPs, in new places of temporary stay in the Transcarpathian region. The survey was conducted in the first half of 2022 using the method of sociological interviews according to a random sample. The structure of the sample is 70.5% – female and 29.5% – male respondents. In addition to the sociological survey, the research is based on statistical data analysis and review of literature studies using qualitative descriptive analysis. The results of the study show significant interdependencies, disparities and trends in migration expectations and attitudes in relation to crisis, which could be the basis for further prognosis and forecasting development in the field of migration theory, such as: gender disparities in migration due to military conflicts; the importance of family ties in migration and resettlement; the predominance of the remote form of work and education, which confirms its effectiveness in crisis situations; the high inclination and desire of IDPs to return home and the low activity of IDPs in migration abroad, which is one of the main differences distinguishing IDPs from other types of migrants.

How to Cite

Kudak, K., Mashiko, K., & Pityulych, M. (2023). EVALUATION OF MIGRATION ATTITUDES AND EXPECTATIONS OF THE POPULATION IN THE CONTEXT OF MILITARY CONFLICT. Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, 9(3), 125-136. https://doi.org/10.30525/2256-0742/2023-9-3-125-136
Article views: 412 | PDF Downloads: 229

##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.details##

Keywords

migration, military conflict, internally displaced persons (IDPs), migration attitudes and expectations, transborder region

References

Libanova, E. (2022). In the worst case scenario, up to 5 million citizens will leave Ukraine. National Agency of Ukraine on Civil Service Issues. Available at: https://nads.gov.ua/news/za-naihirshoho-stsenariiu-ukrainu-shche-polyshyt-do-5-mln-hromadian-ella-libanova-dyrektorka-instytutu-demohrafii-ta-sotsialnykh-doslidzhen-nanu

Transcarpathian Regional Military Administration official website. In Transcarpathia more than 233,000 IDPs received payments from international organizations. Available at: https://carpathia.gov.ua/news/na-zakarpatti-ponad-233-tysiachi-vpo-otrymaly-vyplaty-vid-mizhnarodnykh-orhanizatsii

Fransen, S., & de Haas, H. (2022). Trends and Patterns of Global Refugee Migration. Population and Development Review, vol. 48, pp. 97–128. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.12456

The UNCR Refugee Agency. UNCR-Global Trends. Global Forced Displacement. Available at: https://www.unhcr.org/globaltrends.html

The UNCR Refugee agency (2022). UNHCR: Ukraine, other conflicts push forcibly displaced total over 100 million for first time. Available at: https://www.unhcr.org/news/press/2022/5/628a389e4/unhcr-ukraine-other-conflicts-push-forcibly-displaced-total-100-million.html

Semenenko, V. (2018). Ensuring equal regional employment conditions as a mechanism to overcome the problems of employment of IDPs. Journal of Geography, Politics and Society, vol. 8(1), pp. 44–48.

Brell, C., Dustmann, C., & Preston, I. (2020). The Labor Market Integration of Refugee Migrants in High-Income Countries. Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol. 34(1), pp. 94–121. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.34.1.94

De Jong, G. F. (2000). Expectations, gender, and norms in migration decision-making. Population studies, vol. 54(3), pp. 307–319. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/713779089

Tazreiter, C. (2019). Temporary migrants as an uneasy presence in immigrant societies: Reflections on ambivalence in Australia. International Journal of Comparative Sociology, vol. 60(1-2), pp. 91–109. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/0020715219835891

Ivlevs, A., & Veliziotis, M. (2018). Beyond conflict: Long-term labour market integration of internally displaced persons in post-socialist countries. Journal of Vocational Behavior, vol. 105, pp. 131–146. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvb.2017.12.003

Evans, M. (2007). ‘The Suffering is Too Great’: Urban Internally Displaced Persons in the Casamance Conflict, Senegal. Journal of Refugee Studies, vol. 20(1), pp. 60–85. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/jrs/fel026

Aysa-Lastra, M. (2011). Integration of Internally Displaced Persons in Urban Labour Markets: A Case Study of the IDP Population in Soacha, Colombia. Journal of Refugee Studies, vol. 24(2), pp. 277–303. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/jrs/feq054

Kurshitashvili, N. (2012). The Impact of Socially Ir/responsible Resettlement on the Livelihoods of Internally Displaced Persons in Georgia. Refugee Survey Quarterly, vol. 31(2), pp. 98–118. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/rsq/hds001

Kirchhoff, S., & Ibánez, A. M. (2002). Displacement due to violence in Colombia: Determinants and consequences at the household level (No. 1546-2016-132259).

Piotrowicz, W. D. (2018). In-kind donations, cash transfers and local procurement in the logistics of caring for internally displaced persons: The case of Polish humanitarian NGOs and Ukrainian IDPs. Journal of Humanitarian Logistics and Supply Chain Management, vol. 8 (3), pp. 374–397. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JHLSCM-11-2017-0060

Glytsos, N. P. (1997). Remitting Behaviour of “Temporary” and “Permanent” Migrants: The Case of Greeks in Germany and Australia. Labour, vol. 11(3), pp. 409–435. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9914.00043

Tsuda, T. (1999). The Permanence of “Temporary” Migration: The “Structural Embeddedness” of Japanese-Brazilian Immigrant Workers in Japan. Journal of Asian Studies, vol. 58(3), pp. 687–722. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2659116

Brun, C. (2003). Local Citizens or Internally Displaced Persons? Dilemmas of Long Term Displacement in Sri Lanka. Journal of Refugee Studies, vol. 16(4), pp. 376–397. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/jrs/16.4.376

Card, D., Dustmann, C., & Preston, I. (2005). Understanding attitudes to immigration: The migration and minority module of the first European Social Survey.

Ferris, E., & Winthrop, R. (2010). Education and displacement: Assessing conditions for refugees and internally displaced persons affected by conflict. Background paper for the EFA Global Monitoring Report 2011. The hidden crisis: Armed conflict and education.

Women’s Commission for Refugee Women and Children. (2004). Global Survey on Education in Emergencies. Available at: https://inee.org/sites/default/files/resources/Global_Survey_on_Education_in_Emergencies__WRC__2004.pdf

The UNHCR Refugee Agency. Refugee Education in Urban Settings. Available at: https://www.unhcr.org/cgi-bin/texis/vtx/home/opendocPDFViewer.html?docid=4c288c019&query=58%25%20urban

Deng, F. M. (1999). Guiding principles on internal displacement. International Migration Review, vol. 33(2), pp. 484–493.

Grace, J., & Fischer, J. (2008). Seeking electoral equality for IDP voters. Forced Migration Review, 26–27.

Böhmelt, T., Bove, V., & Nussio, E. (2020). Can Terrorism Abroad Influence Migration Attitudes at Home? American Journal of Political Science, vol. 64(3), pp. 437–451. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12494

Facchini, G., & Mayda, A. M. (2008). From individual attitudes towards migrants to migration policy outcomes. Theory and evidence. Economic Policy, vol. 23(56), pp. 652–713. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0327.2008.00212.x

Shevlin, M., Hyland, P., Vallières, F., Bisson, J., Makhashvili, N., Javakhishvili, J., ... & Roberts, B. (2018). A comparison of DSM‐5 and ICD‐11 PTSD prevalence, comorbidity and disability: An analysis of the Ukrainian Internally Displaced Person's Mental Health Survey. Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica, vol. 137(2), pp. 138–147. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/acps.12840

Moya, A., & Carter, M. R. (2019). Violence and the formation of hopelessness: Evidence from internally displaced persons in Colombia. World Development, vol. 113, pp. 100–115. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2018.08.015

IDMC: Internal displacement monitoring centre. Displacement in Ukraine: insights from survey data. Available at: https://www.internal-displacement.org/expert-opinion/displacement-in-ukraine-insights-from-survey-data

GRADUS research company. Migration and socio-political attitudes during Russia's full-scale war against Ukraine – the sixth wave of research. Analytical report. Available at: https://bit.ly/3A4A0M1

International Organization for Migration. Report on internal displacement in Ukraine. Survey of the general population. Round 7. Available at: https://dtm.iom.int/reports/ukraine-internal-displacement-report-general-population-survey-round-7-17-23-july-2022

Ministry of Reintegration of the Temporarily Occupied Territories of Ukraine. Payments to internally displaced persons (IDPs). Available at: https://minre.gov.ua/infographics/vyplaty-vnutrishno-peremishchenym-osobam-vpo

About the State Budget of Ukraine for 2022: The Law of Ukraine №1928-IX from 02.12.2021. Verhovna Rada of Ukraine. Available at: https://ips.ligazakon.net/document/view/T211928?an=1