POST-WAR ECONOMIC AND DEMOGRAPHIC RECOVERY OF UKRAINE IN THE CONTEXT OF EUROPEAN INTEGRATION: CURRENT TRENDS AND FUTURE PROSPECTS

##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.main##

##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.sidebar##

Published: Nov 21, 2025

  Yana Pavko

  Maksim Lyskov

  Kateryna Kropyvna

Abstract

The Russian Federation's armed aggression has had a negative impact on the development of the Ukrainian economy. Today, the economy requires a comprehensive reboot and renewal, particularly given Ukraine's move towards EU membership. Post-war recovery of the Ukrainian economy requires a balanced strategy in line with EU principles and standards, as well as strong international financial support. The gradual integration of Ukraine into the EU is expected to generate new opportunities for the state and contribute to its economic growth. The subject of scientific research is the features and trends of Ukraine's post-war economic recovery in the context of European integration. The objective of the scientific research is to ascertain the present state and future prospects of Ukraine's post-war economic recovery in the context of EU integration. The article employs various general scientific methods, including analysis, synthesis, induction, deduction and systemic analysis. It is suggested that, to ensure the effective post-war recovery of Ukraine's economy, an appropriate strategy should be adopted in the form of a legally binding document. This document must consider all significant aspects of the country's economic development following the cessation of hostilities, with a view to accelerating its integration into the EU. The process of post-war economic recovery in Ukraine is a multifaceted and intricate undertaking. It should be focused on achieving three fundamental objectives: firstly, the comprehensive restructuring of the Ukrainian economy; secondly, the development of high-tech production; and thirdly, the stimulation of innovation. In the aftermath of the war with Russia, it is anticipated that Ukraine will transition to an industrial-innovative economic model. The implementation of its environmental component is of great importance for post-war economic recovery. The transition to a "green economy" is expected to ensure Ukraine's economic efficiency and competitiveness in European and global markets. It is anticipated that this initiative will facilitate the harmonious development of pivotal economic sectors, thereby enhancing the quality of life for the populace. The findings of scientific research provide a general indication of the manner in which Ukraine's post-war economic recovery should be conducted following the cessation of hostilities with Russia.

How to Cite

Pavko, Y., Lyskov, M., & Kropyvna, K. (2025). POST-WAR ECONOMIC AND DEMOGRAPHIC RECOVERY OF UKRAINE IN THE CONTEXT OF EUROPEAN INTEGRATION: CURRENT TRENDS AND FUTURE PROSPECTS. Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, 11(5), 156-167. https://doi.org/10.30525/2256-0742/2025-11-5-156-167
Article views: 47 | PDF Downloads: 17

##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.details##

Keywords

European integration, green economy, mechanisms of post-war economic recovery in Ukraine, post-war economic recovery, structural transformation of the economy

References

Ukraine's losses from Russian aggression amount to $800 billion. 07.11.2024. Available at: https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-economy/3924677-zbitki-ukraini-vid-rosijskoi-agresii-sagaut-800-milardiv-prezident.html

Fourth Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment (RDNA4). February 2022 – December 2024. Available at: https://ukraine.un.org/sites/default/files/2025-02/P1801741ca39ec0d81b5371ff73a675a0a8.pdf

Plan for the recovery of Ukraine. Kyiv, 2022. 40 p. Available at: https://assets-global.website-files.com/625d81ec8313622a52e2f031/62c19ac16c921fc712205f03_NRC%20Ukraine%27s%20Recovery%20Plan%20blueprint_UKR.pdf

Final document of the International Conference on the Recovery of Ukraine (Lugano Declaration). Lugano, July 4–5, 2022. Available at: https://uploads-ssl.webflow.com/625d81ec8313622a52e2f031/62cd2e0ba5613c953a9b52d4_Lugano%20Declaration_UA.pdf

Conference on Ukraine's Recovery 2025: Concept Note for International Partners. Available at: https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/625d81ec8313622a52e2f031/68274c74ef9c6d433b06aec1_%D0%9A%D0%BE%D0%BD%D1%86%D0%B5%D0%BF%D1%86%D1%96%D1%8F_%D1%83%D0%BA%D1%80_%D1%84%D1%96%D0%BD%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D0%B0_%D0%BD%D0%B0_%D1%81%D0%B0%D0%B9%D1%82.docx%20(1).pdf

Сommunication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the European Council, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions "Ukraine Reliеf and Reconstructіon". Brussels, 2022. Available at: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:52022DC0233

The Ukraine Facility. Supporting Ukraine’s recovery, reconstruction, and path towards EU accession. Available at: https://commission.europa.eu/topics/eu-solidarity-ukraine/eu-assistance-ukraine/ukraine-facility_en

Regulation 792 of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing the Ukraine Facility of 29 February 2024. Available at: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2024/792/oj

Plan for "Ukraine Facility" (2024-2027). Available at: https://www.ukrainefacility.me.gov.ua/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/plan-ukraine-facility.pdf

The Resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine "On Approval of the Strategy for the Recovery, Sustainable Development and Digital Transformation of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises for the Period until 2027 and Approval of the Operational Plan of Measures for its Implementation in 2024-2027" of August 30, 2024 No. 821-p. Available at: https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/821-2024-%D1%80#Text

Voytovych, L., & Fedyk, М. (2024). Post-war economic recovery strategy of Ukraine in the context of European integration. Economy and Society, 65. DOI: https://doi.org/10.32782/2524-0072/2024-65-112

Bedriy, R. B. (2023). Organizational and legal support for the reconstruction and economic development of cities in the context of Ukraine's post-war recovery. Economics and Law, 3, 53–60. DOI: https://doi.org/10.15407/econlaw.2023.03.053

Yanchuk, A. O. (2024). The economic strategy of post-war recovery as a basis for ensuring national interests. Scientific notes of TNU named after V.I. Vernadsky. Series: Legal sciences, Volume 35, no 5, pp. 80–89. Available at: https://www.juris.vernadskyjournals.in.ua/journals/2024/5_2024/16.pdf

NAS of Ukraine: achievements, challenges and vectors of development (2025). World, no 9, р. 5.

How to build the sustainability of Ukraine's economic development? (2025). World, no 9, р. 6.

The Law of Ukraine "On National Security of Ukraine" of July 21, 2018 No. 2469-VIII. Available at: https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/2469-19#Text

Borodina, O., & Lyashenko, V. (2022). Post-war economic recovery: world experience and an attempt to adapt it for Ukraine. Bulletin of Economic Science of Ukraine, 1, 121–134.

Shynkar, V., & Teplova, L. (2023). Economic transformation of Ukraine in the context of the implementation of the status of a candidate for membership in the European Union. Economy and society, 56. DOI: https://doi.org/10.32782/2524-0072/2023-56-56

Kostyk, Y., & Chekalovska, H. (2024). Structural transformation of the Ukrainian economy in the context of globalisation. Economy and society, 68. DOI: https://doi.org/10.32782/2524-0072/2024-68-13

Nosyrev, O. O. (2023). Post-war industrial policy of economic recovery. The mechanism of economic regulation, 2, 41-48.

Zalizniuk, V., & Artamonova, G. (2025). European perspectives of international economic integration. Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, Volume 11, №2., pp. 80-94. Available at: http://www.baltijapublishing.lv/index.php/issue/article/view/2831/2812

Lytvyn, O., Onyshchenko, A., & Ostapenko, O. (2023). Economic challenges of sustainable development goals in Ukraine. Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, Volume 9, no 1, pp. 100–112. Available at: http://www.baltijapublishing.lv/index.php/issue/article/view/2014/2023

Klopov, I., & Ohrenych, J. (2024). The model of economic recovery of Ukraine in the post-war period: the Strategy of the economic miracle. Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, Volume 10, no 5, pp. 184–191. Available at: http://www.baltijapublishing.lv/index.php/issue/article/view/2640/2629

Heyets, V. (2024). Priority in the programme of post-war revival of the Ukrainian economy. International Economic Policy, 2, 8–20. Available at: https://ir.kneu.edu.ua/server/api/core/bitstreams/38f29253-a8b6-4399-ad66-5fc1b97bf209/content

Ukraine has joined the Digital Europe Programme until 2027. 05.09.2022. Available at: https://thedigital.gov.ua/news/ukraina-doluchilasya-do-programi-tsifrova-evropa-shcho-tse-oznachae

Bashlai, S., & Yaremko, I. (2023). Digitalization of Ukraineʼs economy in the conditions of European integration processes. Economy and society, 48. DOI: https://economyandsociety.in.ua/index.php/journal/article/view/2237/2160

Сommunication from the European Commission "The European Green Deal" (COM (2019) 640 final). Brussels, 11.12.2019. Available at: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=CELEX:52019DC0640&from=ET

Glushchenko, A. M. (2025). Institutional support for the development of a "green economy": the experience of EU countries. Sustainable economic development, 1, 167–172.

Ukraine's Peace Formula Philosophy. Available at: https://www.president.gov.ua/storage/j-files-storage/01/19/45/a0284f6fdc92f8e4bd595d4026734bba_1691475944.pdf

Horbach, L., Ruban, O., & Humeniuk Y. (2024). Green economy and sustainable production in the context of globalization. Economy and Society, 59. DOI: https://doi.org/10.32782/2524-0072/2024-59-8

Shishpanova, N., & Kormishkina, I (2024). Green economy as a tool for post-war regional recovery. Investments: Practice and Experience, 10, 87–92.

Environmental Compact for Ukraine. Green Future: Recommendations on Responsibility and Restoration. Kyiv, 2024. Available at: https://www.president.gov.ua/storage/j-files-storage/01/24/65/148029c127aa3b2a3fe9f482f9226118_1707492894.pdf

Announcement of the publication of the draft Law of Ukraine "On Principles of Green Recovery of Ukraine". Available at: https://mepr.gov.ua/povidomlennya-pro-oprylyudnennya-proyektu-zakonu-ukrayiny-pro-zasady-zelenogo-vidnovlennya-ukrayiny/

The European Union plans to create a special fund for the reconstruction of Ukraine after the war. 19.04.2022. Available at: https://meta.ua/uk/news/economics/44718-evrosoyuz-planue-stvoriti-spetsialnii-fond-dlya-vidbudovi-ukrayini-pislya-viini/

The German government has called for the creation of a special fund for the reconstruction of Ukraine. 10.06.2024. Available at: https://www.eurointegration.com.ua/news/2024/06/10/7187814/

The European Commission has officially proposed the creation of a new mechanism for the reconstruction of Ukraine. 18.05.2025. Available at: https://epravda.com.ua/news/2022/05/18/687184/

The government has updated Ukraine's plan for the "Ukraine Facility" programme: what will change. 03.08.2025. Available at: https://delo.ua/news/uryad-onoviv-plan-ukrayini-dlya-programi-ukraine-facility-shho-zminitsya-450377/

The European Commission announced the creation of a direct investment fund in Ukraine to mobilize €500 million for reconstruction. 10.07.2025. Available at: https://me.gov.ua/News/Detail?lang=uk-UA&id=990cbbe0-6f6e-41d8-bbdb-55d50f55a8ab&title=VropeiskaKomisiiaOgolosilaProStvorenniaVUkrainiFonduPriamikhInvestitsiiDliaMobilizatsii500-MlnvroUVidbudovu

EU launches €37 million initiative for Ukraine's reconstruction. 12.07.2025. Available at: https://www.dw.com/uk/es-zapuskae-iniciativu-na-37-mln-evro-dla-vidbudovi-ukraini/a-73249404

Pikulia, T. (2022). The main legal forms and mechanisms of Ukraine's post-war reconstruction. Kyiv Law Journal, 3, 29–34.